Summary
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One analyst predicts the Switch 2 will sell 4.3 million units in the US in 2025, assuming it launches in the first half of the year.
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The analyst believes that the Switch 2 will be strong, but the PS5 could be the top for console sales in the US.
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The Nintendo Switch 2 buzz is high, but success could depend on the timing of the release, the quality of the hardware and the competitiveness of the lineup.
Gaming analyst Mat Piscatella shares predictions that Nintendo Switch 2 it will sell an estimated 4.3 million units in 2025. By the end of 2017, the original Nintendo Switch had sold 4.8 million units, exceeding the company's expectations at the time. To meet the high demand, Nintendo has flown in copies of the Switch. Fans are hoping that this time Nintendo anticipated these types of issues and planned accordingly.
Many gamers are waiting to see when Nintendo's next system will be announced. The Switch 2 is routinely trending on social media, often because people are eagerly awaiting its announcement, but that hype may not translate directly into sales. There are numerous factors that can decide how the Switch 2 will fare in 2025, given that it launches later in the year. The key factors seem to be timing as well as the console's list of games.
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Circana video game analyst Mat Piscatella said he expects the Nintendo Switch to sell 4.3 million units in the US in 2025, assuming it launches in the first half of the year. Many expect the Nintendo Switch 2 to launch by April 2025, just before summer, which would allow for a boost in sales during Japan's Golden Week holiday period and general seasonal festivities worldwide.
The analyst predicts 4.3 million Switch 2 sales in 2025
Given how an announcement seems to be coming soon (but who knows) – I have Nintendo's next hardware selling 4.3 million units in the US in 2025 (assuming 1H release), which is about 1/3 of all units video game console hardware sold during the year (excluding Portable PCs). — Mat Piscatella (@matpiscatella.bsky.social) 2025-01-08T16:09:43.754Z
Piscatella expands on these predictions, noting that in the United States, he believes the Switch 2 will account for 1/3 of all video game hardware unit sales outside of portable PC devices like the Steam Deck or ROG Ally. In general. He notes an expectation of supply constraints for the Switch 2 hardware as a result of the huge initial demand, although he is unsure of the production resources Nintendo has allocated for the system. Nintendo may have stockpiled Switch 2 resources to prevent a product shortage that parallels the release of the original Switch or PS5.
Although Mat Piscatella believes the Switch 2 will sell well, he predicts that the PlayStation 5 will manage to top US game console hardware sales. There is a lot of hype for the Nintendo Switch 2, which could help sales. However, in addition to other highly anticipated titles coming to PS5 this year, Grand Theft Auto 6 is currently slated for a 2025 release and could be a huge system seller that could leapfrog Nintendo's systems. Still, there's a lot of excitement surrounding the Switch 2, and depending on how impressive the Switch 2's hardware is along with its launch lineup, it could lead the pack.
Nintendo Switch
The Nintendo Switch is a hybrid console released in 2017, capable of being played in handheld mode or connected to a television. The Switch Lite, a portable-only model, followed in 2019, with an OLED refresh in 2021.
